Sunday, 17 March 2013

The great global warming scam

The Daily Mail uncovers those dastardly scientists have been pulling the wool over our eyes for years and actually the planet's A/C is set to cool. Don't take their word for it, here's a graph so you know they've got their science shit together.

Irrefutable eh? Look at the "Heavy Black Line" it's close to the edge of the 95% confidence interval. This surely means that - sometime in the future - it'll fall outside of that and we can all start filling up the Land Rover with leaded four star and piping the fumes directly into kitten's lungs. No harm, no foul - the graph says they'll be fine.

Let's think about it though what it's saying in the real world is that there's a 5% chance any data point could fall outside that range. Five points in every hundred will be above or below the light red area.

So how often do we ever see a 5% chance coming off? Perhaps the Daily Mail has some examples...

Hmm every now and again then.

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